How to invest in a falling-rate environment |
| By Laura Bruce Bankrate.com |
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The Fed rate cut isn't a signal to completely rejigger
your portfolio, but it can be an opportunity to consider investments
that generally perform better as interest rates drop.
While lower rates often mean lower borrowing costs
for businesses, a continually declining rate environment may mean
that the economy is so soft that businesses aren't doing well, unemployment
is rising and consumers are cutting back on purchases.
A portfolio that does well in those times may look bit different from one that does well when the economy is performing better. A few changes may be all your portfolio needs to keep it in the green.
We asked two portfolio managers for some ideas that
do-it-yourselfers can consider when reviewing their portfolios.
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Where to invest now |
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Bryant
Evans, Champaign, Ill.: "REITs have come down;
even the ones that are taking advantage of problems in
the housing market ..." Read more ... |
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Jeff
Layman, Springfield, Mo.: "We feel that the
starting point for stocks is pretty attractive ..."
Read
more ... |
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Bryant Evans: In his own words
There are two very important things to keep in mind. You know rates have fallen recently, you don't know for sure they will continue to fall. You need to consider what you think rates will do going forward because that's what really matters when it comes to investments.
The other thing is: What does the yield
curve look like? If we go with the assumption rates will continue
to fall -- and that's not a bad assumption when the economy looks
like it's weakening a little bit -- there are certain kinds of investments
that do very well, especially short- to midterm Treasury bonds.
As rates go down prices go up and bonds tend to do
quite well in a falling-rate environment. But this leads to that
question about what will happen going forward. If you get in now
and rates continue to go down, you're in good shape. But let's say
we're at a historically low rate and they start rising again. Well,
those same investments -- short- to midterm Treasuries -- are not
a good place to be.
Let's remember that good investors think well beyond
the current interest-rate cycle. If you have a good diversified
bond portfolio or a laddered
strategy, you'll be fine. Diversification and a long-term outlook
will mitigate the short-term effect of market and rate fluctuations.
How to diversify in bonds
You can diversify into different kinds of bond funds. Diversified
bond funds are often called "total return funds." I like
them for someone who doesn't have a lot of money to invest and wants
diversification. If you can diversify by investing in two different
kinds of bond funds, then you might avoid the total return fund
and build a portfolio of bond funds. Think long-term and mix and
match. You might have a floating-rate bond fund as well as an inflation-protected
fund with Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, or TIPS.
Just in case we're at a historic low and rates are going to start
coming back up, those tend to do OK as rates rise. Then mix in some
Treasuries and some high-yields and some municipal bonds.
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